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By Nick Wong | 27 March 2025

Record Development Completions In Australia's Industrial Market Leading To Greater Divergence In Precinct Vacancy Rates And Rents

Record development completions in Australia’s industrial market last year have led to a greater divergence in vacancy rates and rental performance in different precincts depending on supply levels, according to the latest research from Knight Frank.The firm’sAustralian Industrial Review Q4 2024found the construction of new supply was expected to pull back slightly in 2025, with 2.3 million square metres expected to be completed this year compared to 2.6 million square metres in 2024.Sydney is expected to have 887,000sq m of stock delivered this year (around the same as the 860,000 in 2024), Melbourne will have 634,000sq m (down 41.5% from the 1 million+ square metres last year) and Brisbane is expected to have around 567,000sq m of stock delivered this year (compared to more than 666,000sq m last year).Development completions last year led to industrial vacancy in Australia’s East Coast cities tripling during 2024 to 2.2 million square metres, however the vacancy rate has only normalised, now sitting at a combined 3% for Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.The largest uplift in vacancy over Q4 was in Melbourne, which had a 10.2% rise, while Sydney vacancy increased by 4.3% and Brisbane vacancy fell by 4.7%. Sydney vacancy is now 2%, while vacancy in Melbourne is 3.3% and Brisbane vacancy is 4.3%.Despite the rise in vacancy rental growth has also continued, with the Knight Frank report finding rents increased modestly during Q4 in all Australian prime industrial markets, ranging from 0.7% to 1.6%.Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

The firm’sAustralian Industrial Review Q4 2024found the construction of new supply was expected to pull back slightly in 2025, with 2.3 million square metres expected to be completed this year compared to 2.6 million square metres in 2024.Sydney is expected to have 887,000sq m of stock delivered this year (around the same as the 860,000 in 2024), Melbourne will have 634,000sq m (down 41.5% from the 1 million+ square metres last year) and Brisbane is expected to have around 567,000sq m of stock delivered this year (compared to more than 666,000sq m last year).Development completions last year led to industrial vacancy in Australia’s East Coast cities tripling during 2024 to 2.2 million square metres, however the vacancy rate has only normalised, now sitting at a combined 3% for Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.The largest uplift in vacancy over Q4 was in Melbourne, which had a 10.2% rise, while Sydney vacancy increased by 4.3% and Brisbane vacancy fell by 4.7%. Sydney vacancy is now 2%, while vacancy in Melbourne is 3.3% and Brisbane vacancy is 4.3%.Despite the rise in vacancy rental growth has also continued, with the Knight Frank report finding rents increased modestly during Q4 in all Australian prime industrial markets, ranging from 0.7% to 1.6%.Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Sydney is expected to have 887,000sq m of stock delivered this year (around the same as the 860,000 in 2024), Melbourne will have 634,000sq m (down 41.5% from the 1 million+ square metres last year) and Brisbane is expected to have around 567,000sq m of stock delivered this year (compared to more than 666,000sq m last year).Development completions last year led to industrial vacancy in Australia’s East Coast cities tripling during 2024 to 2.2 million square metres, however the vacancy rate has only normalised, now sitting at a combined 3% for Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.The largest uplift in vacancy over Q4 was in Melbourne, which had a 10.2% rise, while Sydney vacancy increased by 4.3% and Brisbane vacancy fell by 4.7%. Sydney vacancy is now 2%, while vacancy in Melbourne is 3.3% and Brisbane vacancy is 4.3%.Despite the rise in vacancy rental growth has also continued, with the Knight Frank report finding rents increased modestly during Q4 in all Australian prime industrial markets, ranging from 0.7% to 1.6%.Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Development completions last year led to industrial vacancy in Australia’s East Coast cities tripling during 2024 to 2.2 million square metres, however the vacancy rate has only normalised, now sitting at a combined 3% for Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.The largest uplift in vacancy over Q4 was in Melbourne, which had a 10.2% rise, while Sydney vacancy increased by 4.3% and Brisbane vacancy fell by 4.7%. Sydney vacancy is now 2%, while vacancy in Melbourne is 3.3% and Brisbane vacancy is 4.3%.Despite the rise in vacancy rental growth has also continued, with the Knight Frank report finding rents increased modestly during Q4 in all Australian prime industrial markets, ranging from 0.7% to 1.6%.Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

The largest uplift in vacancy over Q4 was in Melbourne, which had a 10.2% rise, while Sydney vacancy increased by 4.3% and Brisbane vacancy fell by 4.7%. Sydney vacancy is now 2%, while vacancy in Melbourne is 3.3% and Brisbane vacancy is 4.3%.Despite the rise in vacancy rental growth has also continued, with the Knight Frank report finding rents increased modestly during Q4 in all Australian prime industrial markets, ranging from 0.7% to 1.6%.Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Despite the rise in vacancy rental growth has also continued, with the Knight Frank report finding rents increased modestly during Q4 in all Australian prime industrial markets, ranging from 0.7% to 1.6%.Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Across the whole of 2024, Adelaide had the highest prime net rental growth of 12%, followed by Brisbane (7.2%), Melbourne (6.7%), Perth (6.1%) and Sydney (3.9%).While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

While rental growth is ongoing overall, as Knight Frank’sAustralian Horizon 2025report, released at the end of 2024, predicted, there has been a deepening divergence in performance depending on location and supply levels.In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

In the East Coast cities rental growth in Q4 was driven by only one or two precincts – most notably South Sydney, East Melbourne and TradeCoast/North Brisbane – with rents flat in the others.Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Knight Frank National Head of Industrial Logistics James Templetonsaid: “Sydney’s West is currently where we are seeing the highest vacancy in the industrial market – despite still being under 3% – and consequently we have seen effective rents fall in these areas by up to 8%.“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“In comparison the South precinct is where vacancy is the lowest – under 1% – and rents rose by more than 8% over 2024.“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“We are seeing a similar story in Melbourne, where the East has the tightest vacancy and rents have risen by more than 7%, while in the West and North rents have risen at a lower rate due to higher vacancy.“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“In Brisbane the sought after TradeCoast has seen significant rental growth of 14%, with a vacancy rate of 3%, while in the South, where vacancy is 7.5% rents have risen by just under 3%.”Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Prime net effective rent growth in 2024 in precincts across the Eastern Seaboard citiesSYDNEYMELBOURNEBRISBANESouth8.1%East7.2%TradeCoast14.3%North0%South East6%South East11.3%Average-1.3%North3.3%Average7.8%South West-6.9%Average2.4%North & Greater North5.3%Outer West-7.1%West0.8%South West4.7%Inner West-8.2%City Fringe-2.8%South2.9%Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

Knight Frank Partner, Research and Consulting in Queensland Jennelle Wilsonsaid vacancy in Australia’s industrial market was now considered to be back in line with long-term levels after the extreme lows of 2022 and 2023.“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“In the first half of the year there is the potential for vacancy rise further with ongoing completions flowing through the market and relatively subdued demand,” she said.“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“After projects under construction are completed, we expect speculative construction to fall away in the second half of the year as developers become more conservative. This will assist to return market balance and stabilise vacancy levels during 2025.“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“While face rents are holding across all markets and sub-markets the growing incentive levels in certain precincts will continue to drive highly divergent results across the cities and precincts.“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

“Improving import volumes arising from a pick up in economic growth and retail spending point to tenant demand stabilising in 2025.”The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

The Knight Frank report found leasing take up softened over the course of 2024 with the Q4 East Coast total of 552,474sq m the lowest since Q3 2020.The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article

The annual total take up for 2024 at 2.6 million square meters was 19.4% lower than the year before. Despite this decrease, this is still 8% above the 10-year average but a retreat from the space scramble of 2022 to 2023.Previous ArticleNext Article


Nick Wong

About the Author: Nick Wong

Nick forecasts industrial property trends with a focus on logistics, last-mile fulfilment, and zoning overlays. A former civil engineer and weekend bonsai enthusiast, he’s known for pragmatic, systems-driven thinking.